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Hubdub Results 2

posted Sunday, 24 February 2008

My previous cumulative score for Hubdub predictive markets was 1-3-1 (correct-wrong-draw).  Here are some more predictive market results from Hubdub.com for bets that I have participated in.

  • Where will the spy satellite hit earth
    • Wrong (of all the choices no answer had a clear advantage of more than 60% until it was clear that the U.S. military would shoot the thing down at which point the "no where, blow up into tiny pieces" option jumped way up)
  • Who will be voted off of Episode 2 Survivor 16 - Micronesia: Fans vs. Favorites (fan or favorite)?
    • Correct
  • Will Obama beat Clinton in the Wisconsin Primary?
    • Correct
  • Which Manufacturer will win the Daytona 500 on 2/17/08?
    • Wrong
  • Will a Fan or a Favorite be voted off of Episode 3 Survivor 16?
    • Draw
  • Will the navy shoot down failed satellite on Thurs 2/21?
    • Wrong (it was shot down on 2/20, the market started to correct on 2/19 but up until then it was solid in prediction of the satellite being shot down on 2/21)
After these results the cumulative score is now 3-6-2.