My previous cumulative score for Hubdub predictive markets was 1-3-1 (correct-wrong-draw). Here are some more predictive market results from Hubdub.com for bets that I have participated in.
- Where will the spy satellite hit earth
- Wrong (of all the choices no answer had a clear advantage of more than 60% until it was clear that the U.S. military would shoot the thing down at which point the "no where, blow up into tiny pieces" option jumped way up)
- Who will be voted off of Episode 2 Survivor 16 - Micronesia: Fans vs. Favorites (fan or favorite)?
- Will Obama beat Clinton in the Wisconsin Primary?
- Which Manufacturer will win the Daytona 500 on 2/17/08?
- Will a Fan or a Favorite be voted off of Episode 3 Survivor 16?
- Will the navy shoot down failed satellite on Thurs 2/21?
- Wrong (it was shot down on 2/20, the market started to correct on 2/19 but up until then it was solid in prediction of the satellite being shot down on 2/21)
After these results the cumulative score is now 3-6-2.